I have to think that the 2024 election numbers are being downplayed by the media.

"With the war in Ukraine adding to issues on President Joe Biden's plate, a just released Emerson College Poll shows him down 12 points in favorability with his predecessor, former President Donald Trump.
According to the poll, 59% of voters expressed a somewhat or very favorable view of Trump, while 47% had a somewhat or very favorable view of Biden.
The two are more closely matched in a hypothetical 2024 election, where Trump leads Biden 45% to 42%."

https://www.newsmax.com/politi....cs/favorability-rati