Donald Trump is finally facing punishment for his crimes—34 of them, to be exact. But virtually no one foresaw his guilty verdict, including the public. In May, the progressive pollster Navigator Research found that, while 57% of voters believed Trump had committed a crime at some point during his presidency, a 47% plurality of voters didn't think Trump would be convicted for any of his crimes. Conviction doubters included a 46% plurality of independents (just 30% believed Trump would be...