www.iflscience.com
Earth's Global Temperature Surpasses Critical 2°C Mark‚ Setting A New Record
Late last week‚ global temperatures briefly passed a benchmark that climate scientists have been dreading. Provisional data suggests the mean global temperature likely crossed a critical threshold of 2°C (3.6°F) above pre-industrial levels last Friday for the first time in recorded history.“Provisional ERA5 global temperature for 17th November from @CopernicusECMWF was 1.17°C above 1991-2020 – the warmest on record‚” Dr Sam Burgess‚ the deputy director of the Copernicus Climate Change Service‚ posted on X (formerly Twitter) on Sunday."Our best estimate is that this was the first day when global temperature was more than 2°C above 1850-1900 (or pre-industrial) levels‚ at 2.06°C‚" she said.Dr Burgess added that provisional data for Saturday‚ November 18 showed the global average temperatures were 2.06°C above preindustrial levels.                IFLScience is not responsible for content shared from external sites.There’s a lot of evidence that if Earth stays consistently over 2°C (3.6°F) above pre-industrial levels‚ it will dramatically impact the environment and its inhabitants (including us). In a “2°C world‚” it is almost certainly game over for over 99 percent of the world’s coral reefs. We’re also likely to see significantly more declines in insects‚ 16 percent of plants‚ and 8 percent of vertebrates‚ compared to just 1.5°C (2.7°F) of warming. It could also lead several hundred million people into climate-related poverty. The 2°C threshold was a central tenet of the Paris Climate Agreement in 2015 when international leaders agreed to keep global warming “well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels” with the hopes to limit this to just 1.5°C. Once again‚ this is only provisional data and the global average temperature only broke the threshold for a day. To fully gauge the impact of climate change‚ we need to think in terms of years‚ decades‚ and long-term trends‚ not odd days here and there. That said‚ some are seeing these record figures as an important benchmark – and far from a one-off.This year has repeatedly seen record-smashing temperatures. The world’s hottest day since records began was seen on July 3‚ 2023‚ but it was quickly beaten by temperatures on July 4‚ which was almost 1°C (1.8°F) higher than the 1979-2000 average.These single days are riding part of a bigger trend. Scientists have forecasted that 2023 is likely to see the hottest global surface temperatures in recorded history. Moreover‚ there's a good chance we'll see record-smashing temperatures in 2024 too if current trajectories are anything to go by.Climate scientists and activists often talk of “keeping 1.5°C alive‚” expressing hope that the world can take enough action to stay well below the 2°C threshold. While this weekend’s high global temperatures don’t mean that dream is dead‚ it should provide a worrying wake-up call to where we might be heading.Â