Can Virginia GOP Flip Legislature to Block Abortion-Until-Birth Amendment?
Favicon 
www.dailysignal.com

Can Virginia GOP Flip Legislature to Block Abortion-Until-Birth Amendment?

If we all had a dollar for every time we’ve been told, “This is the most important election of our lifetime,” we could afford to get the graffiti cleaned off our Telsas. However, before you tune out the election noise this year, consider the impact of one horrific constitutional amendment in Virginia that will be decided in the next General Assembly session. Conservatives want to block House Joint Resolution 1, or as they call it, “the abortion amendment.” HJ 1 would enshrine in the Virginia Constitution the “right” to abort a baby right up until it is about to be born. One delegate was heard saying that “it used to be the second trimester, now it’s the second contraction.” Given the unanimity that supporters of the amendment in the Democratic Party have, the GOP needs to take the majority in the House of Delegates in this fall’s Virginia General Assembly elections to have any hope of blocking it, so they are looking past the gubernatorial race to races for House seats they feel are “flippable.”  Those districts are: 97th District: Part of Virginia Beach, where the Democrat that represents the seat won in 2023 by 1,179 votes in a district of 63,000 registered voters. 84th District: Suffolk City and surrounding areas, where the Democrat incumbent won the seat in 2023 by 1,853 votes in a district of 66,666 registered voters. 65th District, Stafford County and Fredericksburg, where the Democrat won in 2023 by a margin of 1,750 votes out of 62,274 registered voters. And the 21st District, Prince William County, where the Democrat won in 2023 by a margin of 975 votes out of 58,142 registered voters. The game plan is simple: turnout. Only one of these races saw a turnout higher than 46.6% (the 97th District saw 54.4%), so the idea is to motivate a percentage or two of the GOP voters who didn’t turn out in 2023 and flip the seat in each district. Only two seats would be needed to take the House majority and block the amendment. Warning to anyone counting chickens before you’ve finished paying off the eggs: While those plans are being worked on, the Democratic Party is targeting eight House districts held by Republicans that Kamala Harris carried in 2024. The GOP will have to spend resources to hold those seats this fall, as well. Of course, the fallback position is that if the bill is not stopped in the 2026 legislative session in January, it will be on the ballot later that year during the 2026 midterm congressional elections for Virginia voters to have the final say on. While polling says that 65% of Virginians oppose abortion that late into a pregnancy, conservatives and the GOP leadership are worried that an aggressive advertising strategy by the amendment’s advocates could sufficiently cause voters to misjudge what the amendment would allow. That, coupled with the inertia of the midterm congressional races stealing the focus away from the amendment, you could see Virginia end up enacting one of the most liberal abortion laws in the United States. The post Can Virginia GOP Flip Legislature to Block Abortion-Until-Birth Amendment? appeared first on The Daily Signal.