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New Poll Shows Sen. Chuck Schumer Trailing By Nearly 20 Points In Primary
In a new poll, Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY) trails Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) by 19 points in the 2028 New York Senate primary.
The survey, conducted by Data for Progress, shows AOC leading Schumer 55 percent to 36 percent.
Nine percent were undecided.
Poll: AOC leads Schumer in head-to-head New York primary matchup by double digits https://t.co/jsL6rES04B
— POLITICO (@politico) April 4, 2025
From POLITICO:
The poll is the latest sign that Schumer’s standing among the Democratic base has taken a hit since he voted to advance a GOP funding bill last month that avoided a government shutdown. The fact that Data for Progress conducted and released the poll also underscores that liberal organizations are continuing to look for ways to prod Schumer to take a tougher stance against President Donald Trump.
“This poll really does show that Democrats are united in just wanting to stand up, wanting to fight, wanting to see someone taking a stand for them,” said Danielle Deiseroth, executive director of Data for Progress.
Deiseroth added that her firm “has a long tradition of wanting to challenge the status quo of Democratic Party leadership” and released polling in 2021 showing then-Democratic Sen. Kyrsten Sinema was vulnerable to a primary challenge. Sinema later registered as an independent and declined to run for reelection.
It is unclear what the Schumer-Ocasio-Cortez poll could mean for the New York primary in three years, however, with surveys this early rarely being predictive. Ocasio-Cortez has also been noncommittal about a potential Senate run. Schumer has filed paperwork to run for reelection.
Decided to make the recent AOC v Schumer poll into a graphic pic.twitter.com/rIZqmhGCkF
— NC Blue Dog (@SMcglom) April 5, 2025
New Yorkers favor AOC over Chuck Schumer for Senate by nearly 20 points in new Democrat poll https://t.co/4rB96XPIsb pic.twitter.com/onH2sPNsIO
— TheBlaze (@theblaze) April 4, 2025
Newsweek reports:
The poll, conducted by Data for Progress among 767 likely New York Democratic primary voters from March 26 to 31, showed Ocasio-Cortez with nearly a 20-point lead in a hypothetical 2028 primary matchup between the two. The margin of error associated with the sample size is plus or minus 4 percentage points.
Fifty-five percent of respondents said they would pick her over Schumer, while 36 percent said they would stick with the incumbent. An additional 9 percent said they aren’t sure who they would vote for.
Other polls on the race, which is still three years away, haven’t been conducted, so it’s unclear whether these results will be replicated.
“The results indicate that Schumer has left himself vulnerable to a primary challenger in 2028, and that Ocasio-Cortez could be a strong candidate to defeat the incumbent New York senator. New York Democrats—and Democrats nationwide—clearly want a leadership that fights harder to defeat Trump and the MAGA agenda,” the poll reads.
The poll also found that most New York Democrats want their elected officials to be doing more to oppose Trump. Eighty-four percent of respondents said elected Democrats aren’t doing enough to resist him, while only 10 percent said they are doing enough.