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New Poll Shows NYC Mayoral Race Tightening, Elon Musk Backs Candidate
A new poll in the New York City mayoral election shows former New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo narrowly behind Democratic nominee Zohran Mamdani.
The New York State Assemblyman leads Cuomo 43.9 percent to 39.4 percent.
Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa has 15.5 percent in the poll.
AtlasIntel, which ranked as the most accurate polling company of the 2024 election by Nate Silver, conducted the poll.
It also ranked as the most accurate pollster of the 2020 election.
WOW.
Final NYC poll from Atlas Intel…
Zohran Mamdani is now leading Andrew Cuomo by just 4.5%, election day tomorrow.
Most accurate pollster in 2020 and 2024 pic.twitter.com/zzmSxvLg3A
— Geiger Capital (@Geiger_Capital) November 3, 2025
“The trend continues—the momentum is ours. The more people vote, the stronger we are — let’s go, New York City. We are going to win!” Cuomo said.
The trend continues—the momentum is ours.
The more people vote, the stronger we are — let's go, New York City.
We are going to win! https://t.co/QHLDDHXdUS
— Andrew Cuomo (@andrewcuomo) November 3, 2025
Newsweek shared:
The previous poll, conducted over the five days prior, showed Mamdani, 34, with a wider lead over his opponents, at 40.6 percent compared to 34 percent and 24.1 percent, respectively. While Mamdani appeared to have gained support, the narrower margin will likely be the focus of all candidates in the final hours of campaigning.
Many New Yorkers had already cast their ballots before Monday’s poll, with more than 735,000 votes cast during the city’s nine days of early in-person voting, more than four times the number of ballots cast during the only other mayoral race to allow early voting, in 2021.
The tally was well short of the nearly 1.1 million early, in-person votes cast during last year’s presidential election, but some voting locations saw large crowds Sunday, the last day of early voting. The line at one polling place in downtown Brooklyn snaked around the building and, at one point, took an hour to cast a ballot.
Cuomo had a packed schedule on Monday, setting out to hit each of the boroughs for a get-out-the-vote effort. He wasted little time in attacking Mamdani. At one early stop, the former governor likened a potential Mamdani administration to left-wing governments in Latin America.
Mamdani kicked off the day by crossing the Brooklyn Bridge, carrying a banner alongside Democratic allies. As the race approaches the finish line, Mamdani has continued to post viral social media videos and urge his progressive fans to maintain the enthusiasm and send as many supporters to the polls as possible.
Sliwa, the creator of the Guardian Angels crime patrol group, visited a subway stop in Brooklyn, laying a wreath for a woman who died last year after being set on fire at the station.
Elon Musk threw his support behind Cuomo on Monday.
“Remember to vote tomorrow in New York! Bear in mind that a vote for Curtis is really a vote for Mumdumi or whatever his name is. VOTE CUOMO!” he said.
Remember to vote tomorrow in New York!
Bear in mind that a vote for Curtis is really a vote for Mumdumi or whatever his name is.
VOTE CUOMO!
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) November 3, 2025
More from the New York Post:
Just over 2,400 voters were surveyed for the poll that was conducted between Friday and Sunday. It has a margin of error of 2 percentage points.
In a hypothetical two-way race, Cuomo tops Mamdani 49.7% to 44.1%.
Notably, though, the party breakdown of those surveyed overestimates the Republican and independent vote while downplaying the Democratic vote.
Early voting has Dems accounting for just over 73% of the votes, GOP voters at around 11% and independents at just under 15%.
This poll, however, has Dems at just 59%, Republican voters at 19% and independents at nearly 22%.