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Rep. Dan Crenshaw's decisive defeat in Texas on Tuesday is already being spun by the media as proof that the GOP is just a bloodthirsty Trump cult. This is an unhelpful narrative because what voters rejected in Crenshaw went much deeper. A Daily Beast headline on Wednesday blared, "GOP Star Kicked Out of Congress Due to MAGA's Desperate Midterm Push". MAGA, for its part, was happy to take credit for the loss, with pundits noting on X that Crenshaw was the only House GOP incumbent without a primary endorsement from Trump this cycle. In Texas's second congressional district, just north of Houston, Crenshaw got pummeled by Steve Toth, who ran to his Right. With most of the votes counted, Toth appears to have upset Crenshaw by a gargantuan and unexpected 15-point margin. After a decorated career as a Navy SEAL, voters first elected the congressman in 2018 — and he immediately became recognized as a rising star in the party.

Rep. Dan Crenshaw's defeat in Tuesday's Republican primary in Texas is more than the fall of a prominent conservative lawmaker — it reflects deeper structural changes reshaping the Republican Party in the nation's largest red state. Texas state Rep. Steve Toth unseated the four-term congressman in the GOP primary for Texas' 2nd Congressional District, marking the first time a sitting member of Congress has lost renomination in the 2026 election cycle. Mr. Toth ran an aggressive campaign from the right, arguing that Mr. Crenshaw was insufficiently aligned with the party's conservative grassroots and the political movement surrounding former President Trump. The upset highlights several forces transforming Republican politics in Texas, including growing ideological pressure from the right, the increasing importance of Mr. Trump's influence in primaries and political disruptions caused by mid-decade redistricting.

The vast majority of members of Congress will learn in November whether they've been re-elected, but some won't have to wait quite that long. The Texas Tribune reported: State Rep. Steve Toth beat incumbent U.S. Rep. Dan Crenshaw for the Republican nomination in Texas' 2nd Congressional District, coming one step closer to representing the Houston-area seat. Toth opened a wide lead in the Republican primary on Tuesday as results came in and declared victory hours before The Associated Press called the race in his favor. When Crenshaw arrived on Capitol Hill seven years ago, countless reports included the words "rising star" in the same sentence as his name. The New York Times described the young Texas Republican as "a charismatic, Harvard-educated retired Navy SEAL who wore a distinctive eye patch after losing his right eye during a deployment."